Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 44.27%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Girona had a probability of 26.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
