Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.