SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Elche had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
18.3% ( 0.09) | 21.94% ( 0.21) | 59.76% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.36% ( -0.77) | 45.64% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.04% ( -0.73) | 67.96% ( 0.73) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.3% ( -0.35) | 38.7% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.56% ( -0.33) | 75.44% ( 0.33) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.13% ( -0.35) | 14.87% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.79% ( -0.67) | 43.21% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.25% Total : 18.3% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 10.45% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 59.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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