Elche would have taken confidence from their last three results, but we think that their unbeaten run will be brought to an end by Athletic, who have won their previous two matches against Sunday's opponents.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
0.53) 
-0.15) 
