SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 43.29%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 27.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Andorra | Draw | Burgos |
43.29% ( 0.01) | 28.99% ( 0.08) | 27.72% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 42.79% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.64% ( -0.26) | 63.36% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.27% ( -0.19) | 82.72% ( 0.19) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -0.12) | 29.11% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( -0.15) | 65.04% ( 0.15) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% ( -0.21) | 39.63% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.69% ( -0.2) | 76.31% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Andorra | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 14.23% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 43.28% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.98% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.43% Total : 27.71% |
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