Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.16) 
