SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Tenerife | 5 | -3 | 4 |
| 19 | Leganes | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 | Racing de Santander | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Levante | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 10 | Burgos | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Sporting Gijon | 6 | 2 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.07%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Burgos |
47.61% ( -0.02) | 29.34% ( 0.16) | 23.04% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 38.69% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.27% ( -0.54) | 66.72% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.92% ( -0.37) | 85.08% ( 0.37) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -0.27) | 28.47% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% ( -0.35) | 64.24% ( 0.35) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.09% ( -0.47) | 45.9% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.35% ( -0.37) | 81.65% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 16.41% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.45% Total : 47.6% | 0-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.27) 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.36% Total : 29.34% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.61% Total : 23.04% |
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