SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Andorra | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
41.71% ( 0.49) | 28.59% ( -0.02) | 29.7% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 44.79% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.65% ( -0.08) | 61.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.74% ( -0.06) | 81.26% ( 0.06) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( 0.24) | 29.01% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( 0.29) | 64.91% ( -0.29) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.41) | 36.91% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.31% ( -0.41) | 73.69% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Andorra | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.57% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.7% |
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