Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.