Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Zaragoza | Draw | Eldense |
51.72% ( 1.67) | 27.02% ( -0.58) | 21.26% ( -1.09) |
Both teams to score 42.28% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.87% ( 0.95) | 61.13% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.91% ( 0.7) | 81.09% ( -0.7) |
Real Zaragoza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( 1.19) | 23.88% ( -1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( 1.67) | 58.09% ( -1.68) |
Eldense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.55% ( -0.59) | 44.45% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.51% ( -0.48) | 80.49% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Real Zaragoza | Draw | Eldense |
1-0 @ 15.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.33% Total : 51.72% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.46) 1-2 @ 5% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.26% |
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