Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Numancia had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.57%). The likeliest Numancia win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fuenlabrada would win this match.