Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 47.73%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.67%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
