Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 34.94%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 31.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.96%) and 1-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 1-0 (13.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
