Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
