Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.68%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.83%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match.