Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 1-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 1-0 (12.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.