Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
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