Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Granada had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Granada win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
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