SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Deportivo La Coruna |
42.07% ( 0.11) | 24.98% ( 0.72) | 32.95% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( -2.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( -3.55) | 46.23% ( 3.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% ( -3.44) | 68.52% ( 3.44) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% ( -1.45) | 21.95% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.76% ( -2.25) | 55.24% ( 2.26) |
| Deportivo La Coruna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( -2.19) | 26.88% ( 2.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% ( -2.97) | 62.19% ( 2.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Deportivo La Coruna |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.93) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.33)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.07% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.54) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.84)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.36)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.34)0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.95% |
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