Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 44.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 27.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.