Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Eibar win it was 2-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.