Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
