Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.