Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 42.09%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 25.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (6.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.58%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
