Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.27%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
-0.69) 
0.33) 
