Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.41%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.