Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Levante would win this match.