Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 40.56%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Girona had a probability of 29.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.