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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Jun 30, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Estadi de Son Moix
CV

Mallorca
5 - 1
Celta Vigo

Budimir (13' pen., 52'), Camilo Hernandez (27'), Pozo (40'), Sevilla (60')
Valjent (48'), Budimir (54'), Gamez (89')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Aspas (50' pen.)
Fernandez (75'), Murillo (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MallorcaDrawCelta Vigo
32.08%28.17%39.75%
Both teams to score 46.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.73%59.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32%79.67%
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99%34.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31%70.69%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9%29.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97%65.03%
Score Analysis
    Mallorca 32.08%
    Celta Vigo 39.74%
    Draw 28.16%
MallorcaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 7.11%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 32.08%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.9%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 12.21%
1-2 @ 8.13%
0-2 @ 7.54%
1-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-4 @ 1.03%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 39.74%


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