Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.