Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
