Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Extremadura win with a probability of 40.44%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 29.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Extremadura win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Extremadura would win this match.