Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 28.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 1-0 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.