Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Castellon

Martin (14', 44')
Martos (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mateu (62' pen.)
Fidalgo (36'), Galvez (65'), Jaime (69'), Sene (82'), Zlatanovic (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Rayo Vallecano and Castellon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Castellon
52.36%	27.33%	20.31%

Both teams to score 40.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.1%

62.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.6%

82.4%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62%

24.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21%

58.79%

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.47%

46.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.87%

82.13%

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 52.35%

Castellon 20.31%

Draw 27.32%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Castellon
1-0 @ 16.01% 2-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 8.65% 3-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 4.07% 4-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.56% 4-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.16% Total : 52.35%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 3.31% Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.32%	0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 4.69% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.43% Total : 20.31%