Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.