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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Deportivo La Coruna |
48.5% ( 0.12) | 25.53% ( 0.05) | 25.97% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.91% ( -0.33) | 52.09% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% ( -0.28) | 73.81% ( 0.29) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( -0.08) | 21.49% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.46% ( -0.13) | 54.53% ( 0.13) |
| Deportivo La Coruna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( -0.32) | 34.9% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.36% ( -0.34) | 71.64% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Deportivo La Coruna |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 48.5% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 25.97% |
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