Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 35.41%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.05%) and 1-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 (13.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.