Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 1-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.