Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 43.7%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 26.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.