Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 64.04%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.