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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Jun 21, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
SL

Atalanta
4 - 1
Sassuolo

Djimsiti (16'), Zapata (31', 66'), Bourabia (37' og.)
Pasalic (40'), Djimsiti (75'), Muriel (82'), Toloi (90+1')
G. (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Bourabia (90+2')
Toljan (9'), Peluso (45+2'), Santos (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 64.04%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
64.04%19.01%16.94%
Both teams to score 59.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.54%34.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.62%56.38%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.78%10.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.48%33.51%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5%33.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.87%70.13%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 64.04%
    Sassuolo 16.94%
    Draw 19.01%
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 8.9%
1-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 7.41%
3-0 @ 6.77%
4-1 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 4.05%
4-0 @ 3.86%
4-2 @ 2.31%
5-1 @ 1.93%
5-0 @ 1.76%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 64.04%
1-1 @ 8.54%
2-2 @ 5.33%
0-0 @ 3.42%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.01%
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-1 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.94%
1-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 16.94%


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