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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 28
Jun 27, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
TL

Cagliari
4 - 2
Torino

Nandez (12'), Simeone (17'), Nainggolan (46'), Pedro (68' pen.)
Mattiello (32'), Cigarini (76'), Carboni (81')
W. (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bremer (60'), Belotti (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawTorino
39.76%24.88%35.35%
Both teams to score 58.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.73%45.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.39%67.61%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34%22.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.71%56.29%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75%25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34%59.66%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 39.76%
    Torino 35.35%
    Draw 24.88%
CagliariDrawTorino
2-1 @ 8.66%
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.76%
1-1 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.88%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-1 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.35%


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