Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
