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HV
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Jun 23, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Marc Antonio Bentegodi
NL

Hellas Verona
0 - 2
Napoli


Faraoni (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Milik (38'), Lozano (90')
Koulibaly (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawNapoli
23.64%23.31%53.05%
Both teams to score 55.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21%44.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86%67.15%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08%32.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51%69.5%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.15%16.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.14%46.86%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 23.64%
    Napoli 53.05%
    Draw 23.3%
Hellas VeronaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 6.16%
2-1 @ 6.1%
2-0 @ 3.43%
3-1 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 23.64%
1-1 @ 10.97%
0-0 @ 5.55%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-2 @ 8.8%
1-3 @ 5.8%
0-3 @ 5.22%
2-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.58%
0-4 @ 2.32%
2-4 @ 1.44%
1-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.05%


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