Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.