Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.