Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 63.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.