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Serie B | Gameweek 3
Oct 16, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
LL

Brescia
3 - 0
Lecce

Ndoj (9', 67'), Aye (90')
Spalek (19'), Martella (54'), van de Looi (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Calderoni (57')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Lecce.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
BresciaDrawLecce
41.5%26.34%32.16%
Both teams to score 52.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72%52.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03%73.97%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12%24.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.5%59.5%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64%30.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.44%66.56%
Score Analysis
    Brescia 41.5%
    Lecce 32.16%
    Draw 26.33%
BresciaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.01%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.16%


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