Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.18%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 1-0 (12.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Carrarese	Draw	Pisa
33.18% ( -0.07)	30.47% ( -0.04)	36.35% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 40.84% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.4% (

0.11)

66.6% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.01% (

0.08)

84.99% (

-0.08)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.81% (

0.01)

37.18% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.03% (

0.01)

73.97% (

-0.01)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.02% (

0.13)

34.98% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.27% (

0.14)

71.73% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Carrarese 33.17%

Pisa 36.35%

Draw 30.45%

Carrarese	Draw	Pisa
1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 33.17%	1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.45%	0-1 @ 13.66% 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.35%