Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.
-0.3) 
0.01) 
