Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Catanzaro had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Catanzaro win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
1.18) 
-1.25) 
