Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.