Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Modena had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cremonese in this match.
0.17) 
-0.66) 
